Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 4.673652 5.180349 5.721805 6.343976 7.039817 7.794825 8.677090
2026-01-18 3.828935 4.525031 5.321559 6.302751 7.482119 8.858013 10.590649
2026-01-25 3.224282 4.013736 4.968863 6.214706 7.804505 9.775449 12.419764
2026-02-01 2.777900 3.611244 4.667622 6.113721 8.055418 10.591415 14.185620
2026-02-08 2.434698 3.284772 4.406426 6.007416 8.254535 11.326704 15.897125
2026-02-15 2.184396 3.045368 4.222495 5.966484 8.513649 12.142735 17.785024
2026-02-22 2.033188 2.921359 4.176107 6.100465 9.017221 13.336747 20.337727
2026-03-01 1.859942 2.745058 4.032529 6.069160 9.260843 14.155844 22.395742
2026-03-08 1.674753 2.531594 3.810905 5.891707 9.252313 14.572522 23.842799
2026-03-15 1.544728 2.388695 3.680475 5.838143 9.425039 15.279748 25.828314
2026-03-22 1.472601 2.328511 3.670977 5.972947 9.910959 16.537471 28.883090
2026-03-29 1.407573 2.273135 3.662549 6.105285 10.400068 17.841080 32.158956
2026-04-05 1.324197 2.182844 3.592638 6.132558 10.719933 18.900185 35.152359
2026-04-12 1.232680 2.071552 3.478461 6.072409 10.878346 19.686564 37.730189
2026-04-19 1.144758 1.959187 3.352871 5.979457 10.965620 20.347144 40.139107
2026-04-26 1.064381 1.853484 3.229973 5.879157 11.026852 20.960050 42.520601
2026-05-03 0.991269 1.754936 3.111669 5.775839 11.069945 21.537515 44.892574
2026-05-10 0.933876 1.680433 3.030916 5.736024 11.232230 22.365918 47.900433
2026-05-17 0.903807 1.653976 3.036658 5.864172 11.744002 23.961276 52.804968
2026-05-24 0.855823 1.590071 2.966423 5.834071 11.924035 24.873423 56.264881
2026-05-31 0.794917 1.497028 2.833140 5.663977 11.790488 25.091665 58.117383
2026-06-07 0.752681 1.437296 2.760451 5.612625 11.906983 25.870428 61.414349
2026-06-14 0.733240 1.421171 2.773047 5.741804 12.433055 27.627893 67.368091